This increased first-party game production, further bolstering the machine’s appeal.

In the here and now, it’s clear that things are changing.

Scaling to 1080p or 1440p would likely look good enough.

Article image

I would be wary of comparisons with Steam Deck, however.

Pushed to its limits, the Deck is burning through 26-27W of power.

That kind of throughput would get you about 30 minutes of play on today’s Switch battery.

Cover image for YouTube video

2023 is looking unlikely, unfortunately.

From a commercial perspective, there are two ways of looking at this.

Assuming similar success elsewhere, the business case for a replacement this year may not be compelling to Nintendo.

Cover image for YouTube video

On the flip-side, sales are actually down 25 percent year-on-year.

The system has clearly peaked, and we’re now in a period of managed decline.

Our guess, based on gut feeling and no firm intel whatsoever?

An announcement towards the end of the year and perhaps a release in Q1 2024.

Combined with Nintendo’s unparalleled game design, it should be an astonishing reveal.